Climate Change
Mar. 29th, 2026 09:49 pmEven moderate levels of warming can unleash extreme climate damage
Some climate futures at 3.6°F (2°C) of warming may be harsher for drought, rain, and fire than average projections at 5.4°F (3°C) or even 7.2°F (4°C), according to a new study.
The findings challenge a common assumption that moderate warming marks a boundary between manageable climate change and severe disruption.
2°C is not moderate. 1.5°C would have been moderate -- causing serious problems, but things civilization could withstand -- except we're far past being able to meet that goal. 2°C is tipping points dumping humans into a global environment unlike what they evolved to live in. 3°C is bend over and kiss your ass goodbye. (Note that many scientists expect a rise of 3°C or more.) But don't worry too much about Earth. It has survived a lot worse. Eventually species will adapt or new ones will evolve.
Some climate futures at 3.6°F (2°C) of warming may be harsher for drought, rain, and fire than average projections at 5.4°F (3°C) or even 7.2°F (4°C), according to a new study.
The findings challenge a common assumption that moderate warming marks a boundary between manageable climate change and severe disruption.
2°C is not moderate. 1.5°C would have been moderate -- causing serious problems, but things civilization could withstand -- except we're far past being able to meet that goal. 2°C is tipping points dumping humans into a global environment unlike what they evolved to live in. 3°C is bend over and kiss your ass goodbye. (Note that many scientists expect a rise of 3°C or more.) But don't worry too much about Earth. It has survived a lot worse. Eventually species will adapt or new ones will evolve.